Incofios tracks cotton crop outlook and strengthens supply monitoring

The projected reduction in Brazil’s 2025/2026 cotton crop has drawn attention across the textile value chain. Estimates released by different entities point to varying scenarios for national production. In February 2026, the National Supply Company (Conab) estimated production at 3.8 million tons of lint, a volume 6.7% lower than that recorded in the previous cycle. A survey released by the Brazilian Cotton Producers Association (Abrapa) in April this year indicated a sharper decline of 10%.

According to data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), after three consecutive years of crop growth, the drop in international cotton prices affected producers’ profitability and contributed to a reduction in planted area. IBGE also indicated that climate conditions influenced by La Niña could affect the performance of the 2026 crop.

Conversely, the National Association of Cotton Exporters revised its production estimate upward, from 3.87 million to 3.95 million tons, during a meeting held in April 2026.

In this context, Incofios, a company participating in Texbrasil (the Brazilian Textile and Fashion Industry Internationalization Program), a partnership between Abit (the Brazilian Textile and Apparel Industry Association) and ApexBrasil (the Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency), with a focus on the production of 100% cotton yarns, reported that it continues to carry out technical monitoring of cotton production in Mato Grosso, the country’s leading producing state. The company has a specialist in fiber classification responsible for monitoring crop development and overseeing the quality of the raw material purchased.

According to Incofios, all the cotton used undergoes technical analysis through the HVI (High Volume Instrument) system, an equipment used to measure fiber characteristics such as length, strength, fineness, and uniformity.

According to Incofios’ industrial manager, Daniel Bodnar, crop monitoring and advance planning are strategies adopted by the company in response to fluctuations in market projections. “At Incofios, we closely monitor crop development from the field and work with strict technical criteria in cotton selection. This allows us to ensure supply consistency and guide our clients to make strategic purchases, avoiding surprises throughout the year,” he said.